This seems great for some domains (especially rapidly evolving scientific fields and many political/policy things). How clear an idea of how this would work do you have? What provisions for updating predictions would there be? And how would you incentivise early predictions? A full prediction market, with some structural things to make people not run out of points entirely?
Comments
Eric Bruylant
This seems great for some domains (especially rapidly evolving scientific fields and many political/policy things). How clear an idea of how this would work do you have? What provisions for updating predictions would there be? And how would you incentivise early predictions? A full prediction market, with some structural things to make people not run out of points entirely?
Edit: Moved the rest of this comment to 14s.