https://arbital.com/p/14r



Comments

Eric Bruylant

This seems great for some domains (especially rapidly evolving scientific fields and many political/policy things). How clear an idea of how this would work do you have? What provisions for updating predictions would there be? And how would you incentivise early predictions? A full prediction market, with some structural things to make people not run out of points entirely?

Edit: Moved the rest of this comment to 14s.