Almost all real-world domains are rich

by Eliezer Yudkowsky Jul 2 2015 updated Feb 18 2017

Anything you're trying to accomplish in the real world can potentially be accomplished in a *lot* of different ways.

The proposition that almost all real-world problems occupy rich domains, or could occupy rich domains so far as we know, due to the degree to which most things in the real world entangle with many other real things.

If playing a real-world game of chess, it's possible to:

Since 'almost all' and 'might be' are not precise, for operational purposes this page's assertion will be taken to be, "Every superintelligence with options more complicated than those of a Zermelo-Fraenkel provability Oracle, should be taken from our subjective perspective to have an at least a 1/3 probability of being cognitively uncontainable."

*(Work in progress)*

[todo: fill this out]

a central difficulty of one approach to Oracle research is to so drastically constrain the Oracle's options that the domain becomes strategically narrow from its perspective (and we can know this fact well enough to proceed)

gravitational influence of pebble thrown on Earth on moon, but this *seems* not usefully controllable because we *think* the AI can't possibly isolate *any* controllable effect of this entanglement.

when we build an agent based on our belief that we've found an exception to this general rule, we are violating the Omni Test.

central examples: That Alien Message, the Zermelo-Frankel oracle